FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2

TennesseeatGeorgia Tech

Sat, Sep. 12 · 7:00 PM ET · Bobby Dodd Stadium

Tennessee45
Georgia Tech24
CALLED

SharpTake projected Tennessee at 66%. Tennessee won.

ProjectedTennessee by 4.5
ActualTennessee by 21
Difference16.5 pts
Market spreadTennessee -12.25
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Georgia Tech +12.25

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Tennessee to win.

TennesseeProjected winner
66%Win probability
Tennessee by 4.5Projected margin

Why SharpTake leans

Why SharpTake leans Tennessee

Tennessee's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Tennessee. Tennessee also has the edge in current season's scoring performance and recent scoring performance, while Georgia Tech's current season's results pushes the other way.

Current season's results

Georgia Tech offset

Overall team quality

Strong Tennessee advantage

Current season's scoring performance

Tennessee advantage

Recent scoring performance

Tennessee advantage

On-field context

Matchup breakdown

These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.

Georgia Tech run game

CLEAR EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseTennessee defense

Georgia Tech gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Tennessee allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.

Rushing Success Rate · 50.4%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 47.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results

Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed

Georgia Tech staying on schedule

CLEAR EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseTennessee defense

Georgia Tech gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Tennessee allows enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.

Offensive Success Rate · 49.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 44.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams

Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed

Tennessee pass game

CLEAR EDGE
Tennessee offenseGeorgia Tech defense

Tennessee gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Georgia Tech allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Tennessee.

Passing Success Rate · 50.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 44.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams

Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed

Explore

Go deeper

Team reads

Position rooms

Tennessee position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Georgia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 12, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

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