Last season's results
Missouri advantage
FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 6
Texas A&MatMissouri
Texas A&M6
Missouri27
CALLED
SharpTake projected Missouri at 70%. Missouri won.
ProjectedMissouri by 7.5
ActualMissouri by 21
Difference13.5 pts
Market spreadMissouri -3.75
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Missouri -3.75
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Texas A&M 30%Missouri 70%
SharpTake projects Missouri to win.
MissouriProjected winner
70%Win probability
Missouri by 7.5Projected margin
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Missouri
Missouri's record from last season is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Missouri. Missouri also has the edge in recent scoring performance and down-to-down efficiency, while Texas A&M's current season's results pushes the other way.
Current season's results
Texas A&M offset
Recent scoring performance
Slight Missouri advantage
Down-to-down efficiency
Slight Missouri advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Texas A&M run game
EDGETexas A&M offenseMissouri defense
Texas A&M gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Missouri allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Missouri.
Rushing Success Rate · 46.4%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 36.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Missouri pass game
EDGEMissouri offenseTexas A&M defense
Missouri gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Texas A&M allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Texas A&M.
Passing Success Rate · 42.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Passing Success Rate allowed · 32.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
Missouri explosive plays
EDGEMissouri offenseTexas A&M defense
Missouri creates big-play value on successful plays at a rate near the FBS middle, while Texas A&M allows big-play value on successful plays far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Missouri.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.215Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Near the FBS middle
Explosiveness allowed · 1.429Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Texas A&M team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Missouri team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.