FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

ColoradoatGeorgia Tech

Thu, Sep. 3 · 8:00 PM ET · Bobby Dodd Stadium

Colorado14
Georgia Tech13
MISSED

SharpTake projected Georgia Tech at 85%. Colorado won.

ProjectedGeorgia Tech by 17.0
ActualColorado by 1
Difference18.0 pts
Market spreadGeorgia Tech -6.5
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Georgia Tech -6.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Georgia Tech to win.

Georgia TechProjected winner
85%Win probability
Georgia Tech by 17.0Projected margin

Why SharpTake leans

Why SharpTake leans Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Georgia Tech. Georgia Tech also has the edge in down-to-down efficiency and running-game efficiency, while Colorado's record from last season pushes the other way.

Overall team quality

Strong Georgia Tech advantage

Down-to-down efficiency

Strong Georgia Tech advantage

Last season's results

Colorado offset

Running-game efficiency

Georgia Tech advantage

On-field context

Matchup breakdown

These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.

Georgia Tech staying on schedule

EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseColorado defense

Georgia Tech gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Colorado allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.

Offensive Success Rate · 49.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 42.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle

Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed

Georgia Tech run game

EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseColorado defense

Georgia Tech gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Colorado allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.

Rushing Success Rate · 50.4%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 44.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle

Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed

Georgia Tech pass game

EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseColorado defense

Georgia Tech gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Colorado allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.

Passing Success Rate · 48.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 40.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle

Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed

Explore

Go deeper

Team reads

Position rooms

Colorado position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Georgia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
  • Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET

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