FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Southeast Missouri StateatIowa State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 1:00 PM ET · Jack Trice Stadium

Southeast Missouri State10

Iowa State38

CALLED

SharpTake projected Iowa State at 99%. Iowa State won.

ProjectedIowa State by 39.5

ActualIowa State by 28

Difference11.5 pts

Market spreadIowa State -30.5

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Iowa State -30.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Southeast Missouri State 1%Iowa State 99%

SharpTake projects Iowa State to win.

Iowa StateProjected winner

99%Win probability

Iowa State by 39.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Iowa State team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Iowa State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 1:00 PM ET