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These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Colorado pass game
CLEAR EDGE
Colorado offenseKansas State defense
Colorado gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams, while Kansas State allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Kansas State.
Passing Success Rate · 34.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 37.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Kansas State creates big-play value on successful plays far more often than most FBS teams, while Colorado allows big-play value on successful plays more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Kansas State.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.393Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Among the strongest FBS results
Explosiveness allowed · 1.303Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Colorado staying on schedule
EDGE
Colorado offenseKansas State defense
Colorado gains enough yardage for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams, while Kansas State allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Kansas State.
Offensive Success Rate · 35.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 39.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Kansas State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Colorado position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 28, 2026 · 2:49 AM ET