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These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Utah run game
CLEAR EDGE
Utah offenseCincinnati defense
Utah gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Cincinnati allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Utah.
Rushing Success Rate · 52.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 45.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Utah disruption allowedCincinnati disruption created
Utah avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles more often than most FBS teams, while Cincinnati creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Utah.
Havoc Rate allowed · 12.4%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Better than most FBS teams
Defensive Havoc Rate · 12.2%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Utah staying on schedule
EDGE
Utah offenseCincinnati defense
Utah gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Cincinnati allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Utah.
Offensive Success Rate · 49.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 43.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Utah position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Cincinnati position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 28, 2026 · 2:49 AM ET