FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2

Georgia SouthernatClemson

Sat, Sep. 12 · 7:30 PM ET · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)

Georgia Southern7
Clemson22
CALLED

SharpTake projected Clemson at 57%. Clemson won.

ProjectedClemson by 5.0
ActualClemson by 15
Difference10.0 pts
Market spreadClemson -19.5
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Georgia Southern +19.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Clemson to win.

ClemsonProjected winner
57%Win probability
Clemson by 5.0Projected margin

Why SharpTake leans

Why SharpTake leans Clemson

Clemson's current season's results is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Clemson. Clemson also has the edge in down-to-down efficiency, while Georgia Southern's current season's scoring performance pushes the other way.

Current season's results

Strong Clemson advantage

Current season's scoring performance

Georgia Southern offset

Recent scoring performance

Georgia Southern offset

Down-to-down efficiency

Clemson advantage

On-field context

Matchup breakdown

These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.

Clemson staying on schedule

EDGE
Clemson offenseGeorgia Southern defense

Clemson gains enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Georgia Southern allows enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.

Offensive Success Rate · 42.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 48.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results

Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed

Clemson run game

EDGE
Clemson offenseGeorgia Southern defense

Clemson gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Georgia Southern allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.

Rushing Success Rate · 44.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 51.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results

Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed

Clemson pass game

EDGE
Clemson offenseGeorgia Southern defense

Clemson gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Georgia Southern allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.

Passing Success Rate · 42.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Passing Success Rate allowed · 46.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results

Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed

Explore

Go deeper

Team reads

Position rooms

Georgia Southern position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Clemson position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM ET

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