FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2

UC DavisatSMU

Sat, Sep. 12 · 4:00 PM ET · Gerald J. Ford Stadium

UC Davis10

SMU56

CALLED

SharpTake projected SMU at 98%. SMU won.

ProjectedSMU by 33.0

ActualSMU by 46

Difference13.0 pts

Market spreadSMU -32.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: SMU -32.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

UC Davis 2%SMU 98%

SharpTake projects SMU to win.

SMUProjected winner

98%Win probability

SMU by 33.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

SMU team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

SMU position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET