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SharpTake projected Virginia Tech at 62%. Virginia Tech won.
ProjectedVirginia Tech by 4.5
ActualVirginia Tech by 10
Difference5.5 pts
Market spreadVirginia Tech -8.5
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Georgia Tech +8.5
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Georgia Tech 38%Virginia Tech 62%
SharpTake projects Virginia Tech to win.
Virginia TechProjected winner
62%Win probability
Virginia Tech by 4.5Projected margin
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Georgia Tech pass game
CLEAR EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseVirginia Tech defense
Georgia Tech gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Virginia Tech allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Passing Success Rate · 48.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 46.4%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Georgia Tech gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Virginia Tech allows enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Offensive Success Rate · 49.2%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 44.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Virginia Tech disruption vs Georgia Tech
CLEAR EDGE
Georgia Tech disruption allowedVirginia Tech disruption created
Georgia Tech avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams, while Virginia Tech creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Havoc Rate allowed · 11.8%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Havoc Rate · 13.2%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Worse than most FBS teams
Georgia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Virginia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 17, 2026 · 1:32 AM ET