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SharpTake projected Georgia Tech at 68%. Boston College won.
ProjectedGeorgia Tech by 7.0
ActualBoston College by 22
Difference29.0 pts
Market spreadGeorgia Tech -6.5
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Georgia Tech -6.5
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Boston College 32%Georgia Tech 68%
SharpTake projects Georgia Tech to win.
Georgia TechProjected winner
68%Win probability
Georgia Tech by 7.0Projected margin
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Boston College disruption vs Georgia Tech
CLEAR EDGE
Georgia Tech disruption allowedBoston College disruption created
Georgia Tech avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams, while Boston College creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Havoc Rate allowed · 11.8%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Havoc Rate · 12.6%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Georgia Tech staying on schedule
EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseBoston College defense
Georgia Tech gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Boston College allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Offensive Success Rate · 49.2%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 43.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Georgia Tech run game
EDGE
Georgia Tech offenseBoston College defense
Georgia Tech gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Boston College allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Georgia Tech.
Rushing Success Rate · 50.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 44.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Boston College position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Georgia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 24, 2026 · 7:58 AM ET