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Sat, Oct. 24 · 7:00 PM ET · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Virginia Tech20
Clemson16
MISSED
SharpTake projected Clemson at 56%. Virginia Tech won.
ProjectedClemson by 2.0
ActualVirginia Tech by 4
Difference6.0 pts
Market spreadClemson -3
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Virginia Tech +3
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Virginia Tech 44%Clemson 56%
SharpTake projects Clemson to win.
ClemsonProjected winner
56%Win probability
Clemson by 2.0Projected margin
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Virginia Tech pass game
CLEAR EDGE
Virginia Tech offenseClemson defense
Virginia Tech gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams, while Clemson allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.
Passing Success Rate · 34.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 35.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Virginia Tech disruption allowedClemson disruption created
Virginia Tech avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles at a rate near the FBS middle, while Clemson creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.
Havoc Rate allowed · 16.7%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Near the FBS middle
Defensive Havoc Rate · 19.6%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Virginia Tech finishing drives
EDGE
Virginia Tech offenseClemson defense
Virginia Tech scores points after possessions cross the opponent's 40-yard line at a rate near the FBS middle, while Clemson allows points after possessions cross the opponent's 40-yard line far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Clemson.
Points per scoring opportunity · 3.68 pointsFinishing drives measures points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40-yard line.Near the FBS middle
Points allowed per scoring opportunity · 2.68 pointsFinishing drives measures points allowed per possession that reaches the defense's 40-yard line.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Points per scoring opportunity, for and allowed
Season aggregates only. How a specific opponent forces field position and drive length is not captured here.
Virginia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Clemson position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 24, 2026 · 7:58 AM ET