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These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Staying on schedule
NO EDGE
Pittsburgh offenseGeorgia Tech defense
Pittsburgh gains enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Georgia Tech allows enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. The evidence does not separate the teams enough for an advantage here.
Offensive Success Rate · 40.4%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 44.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Pass game
NO EDGE
Pittsburgh offenseGeorgia Tech defense
Pittsburgh gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Georgia Tech allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. The evidence does not separate the teams enough for an advantage here.
Passing Success Rate · 40.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Passing Success Rate allowed · 44.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Pittsburgh creates big-play value on successful plays more often than most FBS teams, while Georgia Tech allows big-play value on successful plays at a rate near the FBS middle. The evidence does not separate the teams enough for an advantage here.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.332Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Better than most FBS teams
Explosiveness allowed · 1.233Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Georgia Tech position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Pittsburgh position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 28, 2026 · 2:49 AM ET