FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

South Dakota StateatNorthwestern

Sat, Sep. 5 · 8:00 PM ET · Lanny and Sharon Martin Stadium

South Dakota State18

Northwestern34

CALLED

SharpTake projected Northwestern at 92%. Northwestern won.

ProjectedNorthwestern by 22.5

ActualNorthwestern by 16

Difference6.5 pts

Market spreadNorthwestern -13.25

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Northwestern -13.25

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

South Dakota State 8%Northwestern 92%

SharpTake projects Northwestern to win.

NorthwesternProjected winner

92%Win probability

Northwestern by 22.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Northwestern team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Northwestern position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 8:00 PM ET