Overall team quality
Strong Washington advantage
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Washington
Washington's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Washington. Washington also has the edge in down-to-down efficiency and running-game efficiency, while Washington State's record from last season pushes the other way.
Down-to-down efficiency
Washington advantage
Running-game efficiency
Washington advantage
Last season's results
Washington State offset
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Washington staying on schedule
EDGEWashington offenseWashington State defense
Washington gains enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Washington State allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Washington.
Offensive Success Rate · 48.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 41.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Washington run game
EDGEWashington offenseWashington State defense
Washington gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Washington State allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Washington.
Rushing Success Rate · 49.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 45.2%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Washington pass game
EDGEWashington offenseWashington State defense
Washington gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Washington State allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Washington.
Passing Success Rate · 50.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 39.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Washington State team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Washington team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
- Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.