Overall team quality
Strong Minnesota advantage
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Minnesota
Minnesota's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Minnesota. Akron's record from last season pushes the other way.
Last season's results
Akron offset
Down-to-down efficiency
Akron offset
Running-game efficiency
Akron offset
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Minnesota disruption vs Akron
EDGEAkron disruption allowedMinnesota disruption created
Akron avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles less often than most FBS teams, while Minnesota creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Minnesota.
Havoc Rate allowed · 17.9%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Worse than most FBS teams
Defensive Havoc Rate · 17.6%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Better than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Staying on schedule
NO EDGEAkron offenseMinnesota defense
Akron gains enough yardage for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams, while Minnesota allows enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. The evidence does not separate the teams enough for an advantage here.
Offensive Success Rate · 39.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 42.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Run game
NO EDGEMinnesota offenseAkron defense
Minnesota gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams, while Akron allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle. The evidence does not separate the teams enough for an advantage here.
Rushing Success Rate · 40.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 42.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Akron team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Minnesota team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.