Control basic Google Analytics for this browser. Analytics is on by default for eligible U.S. visits; elsewhere, it needs your permission. Sports questions are not sent to Google Analytics. Privacy policy
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Michigan run game
CLEAR EDGE
Michigan offenseRutgers defense
Michigan gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Rutgers allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Michigan.
Rushing Success Rate · 50.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 47.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Michigan disruption allowedRutgers disruption created
Michigan avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams, while Rutgers creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Michigan.
Havoc Rate allowed · 12.1%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Havoc Rate · 12.4%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Michigan staying on schedule
CLEAR EDGE
Michigan offenseRutgers defense
Michigan gains enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams, while Rutgers allows enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Michigan.
Offensive Success Rate · 45.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 47.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Michigan position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.Rutgers position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 28, 2026 · 2:49 AM ET