FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Portland StateatSan Diego State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 9:30 PM ET · Snapdragon Stadium

Portland State20

San Diego State53

CALLED

SharpTake projected San Diego State at 99%. San Diego State won.

ProjectedSan Diego State by 51.5

ActualSan Diego State by 33

Difference18.5 pts

Market spreadSan Diego State -39.5

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: San Diego State -39.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Portland State 1%San Diego State 99%

SharpTake projects San Diego State to win.

San Diego StateProjected winner

99%Win probability

San Diego State by 51.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

San Diego State team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

San Diego State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 9:30 PM ET