FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Idaho StateatUtah State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 7:00 PM ET · Maverik Stadium

Idaho State29

Utah State17

MISSED

SharpTake projected Utah State at 96%. Idaho State won.

ProjectedUtah State by 27.5

ActualIdaho State by 12

Difference39.5 pts

Market spreadUtah State -15

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Utah State -15

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Idaho State 4%Utah State 96%

SharpTake projects Utah State to win.

Utah StateProjected winner

96%Win probability

Utah State by 27.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Utah State team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Utah State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET