FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

The CitadelatCharlotte

Sat, Sep. 5 · 3:30 PM ET · Jerry Richardson Stadium

The Citadel43

Charlotte41

MISSED

SharpTake projected Charlotte at 85%. The Citadel won.

ProjectedCharlotte by 18.0

ActualThe Citadel by 2

Difference20.0 pts

Market spreadCharlotte -20.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: The Citadel +20.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

The Citadel 15%Charlotte 85%

SharpTake projects Charlotte to win.

CharlotteProjected winner

85%Win probability

Charlotte by 18.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Charlotte team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Charlotte position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET