FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

UT Rio Grande ValleyatUTSA

Sat, Sep. 5 · 3:30 PM ET · Alamodome

UT Rio Grande Valley16

UTSA45

CALLED

SharpTake projected UTSA at 96%. UTSA won.

ProjectedUTSA by 29.0

ActualUTSA by 29

Difference0.0 pts

Market spreadUTSA -28.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: UTSA -28.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

UT Rio Grande Valley 4%UTSA 96%

SharpTake projects UTSA to win.

UTSAProjected winner

96%Win probability

UTSA by 29.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

UTSA team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

UTSA position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM ET