Down-to-down efficiency
South Florida offset
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Army
Army's current season's scoring performance is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Army. Army also has the edge in recent scoring performance and record from last season, while South Florida's down-to-down efficiency pushes the other way.
Current season's scoring performance
Army advantage
Recent scoring performance
Army advantage
Last season's results
Army advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
South Florida staying on schedule
EDGESouth Florida offenseArmy defense
South Florida gains enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams, while Army allows enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors South Florida.
Offensive Success Rate · 46.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 44.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
South Florida pass game
EDGESouth Florida offenseArmy defense
South Florida gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams, while Army allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors South Florida.
Passing Success Rate · 45.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Passing Success Rate allowed · 46.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
South Florida explosive plays
EDGESouth Florida offenseArmy defense
South Florida creates big-play value on successful plays at a rate near the FBS middle, while Army allows big-play value on successful plays far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Army.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.298Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Near the FBS middle
Explosiveness allowed · 1.117Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
South Florida team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Army team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.