Overall team quality
Strong Navy advantage
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Navy
Navy's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Navy. Navy also has the edge in down-to-down efficiency and current season's scoring performance, while Florida Atlantic's current season's results pushes the other way.
Current season's results
Florida Atlantic offset
Down-to-down efficiency
Strong Navy advantage
Current season's scoring performance
Strong Navy advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Navy run game
CLEAR EDGENavy offenseFlorida Atlantic defense
Navy gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams, while Florida Atlantic allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Navy.
Rushing Success Rate · 51.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 46.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Florida Atlantic explosive plays
CLEAR EDGEFlorida Atlantic offenseNavy defense
Florida Atlantic creates big-play value on successful plays far more often than most FBS teams, while Navy allows big-play value on successful plays more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Florida Atlantic.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.399Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Among the strongest FBS results
Explosiveness allowed · 1.357Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Florida Atlantic disruption vs Navy
CLEAR EDGENavy disruption allowedFlorida Atlantic disruption created
Navy avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams, while Florida Atlantic creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Navy.
Havoc Rate allowed · 9.2%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Defensive Havoc Rate · 13.9%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Navy team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Florida Atlantic team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.