FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 3

UT MartinatMemphis

Sat, Sep. 19 · 7:00 PM ET · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

UT Martin21

Memphis45

CALLED

SharpTake projected Memphis at 99%. Memphis won.

ProjectedMemphis by 37.5

ActualMemphis by 24

Difference13.5 pts

Market spreadMemphis -33.5

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Memphis -33.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

UT Martin 1%Memphis 99%

SharpTake projects Memphis to win.

MemphisProjected winner

99%Win probability

Memphis by 37.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Memphis team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Memphis position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET