Overall team quality
Strong Toledo advantage
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Toledo
Toledo's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Toledo. Toledo also has the edge in down-to-down efficiency and current season's scoring performance, while Temple's record from last season pushes the other way.
Down-to-down efficiency
Toledo advantage
Last season's results
Temple offset
Current season's scoring performance
Toledo advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Temple staying on schedule
EDGETemple offenseToledo defense
Temple gains enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Toledo allows enough yardage for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Toledo.
Offensive Success Rate · 42.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 33.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Toledo run game
EDGEToledo offenseTemple defense
Toledo gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Temple allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Toledo.
Rushing Success Rate · 43.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 48.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Temple pass game
EDGETemple offenseToledo defense
Temple gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Toledo allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Toledo.
Passing Success Rate · 44.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Passing Success Rate allowed · 28.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Temple team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Toledo team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.