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These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
East Carolina staying on schedule
EDGE
East Carolina offenseTemple defense
East Carolina gains enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams, while Temple allows enough yardage for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors East Carolina.
Offensive Success Rate · 45.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 45.0%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Temple run game
EDGE
Temple offenseEast Carolina defense
Temple gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while East Carolina allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors East Carolina.
Rushing Success Rate · 41.2%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 36.9%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
East Carolina creates big-play value on successful plays far less often than most FBS teams, while Temple allows big-play value on successful plays at a rate near the FBS middle. That comparison favors Temple.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.138Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Among the weakest FBS results
Explosiveness allowed · 1.201Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Near the FBS middle
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Temple position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.East Carolina position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.
Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 28, 2026 · 2:49 AM ET