SharpTake

FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2

Montana StateatNevada

Sat, Sep. 12 · 10:30 PM ET · Mackay Stadium

Montana State20
Nevada7
CALLED

SharpTake projected Montana State at 61%. Montana State won.

ProjectedNevada by 2.5
ActualMontana State by 13
Difference15.5 pts
Market spreadMontana State -4.75
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Nevada +4.75

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Montana State to win.

Montana StateProjected winner
61%Win probability
Nevada by 2.5Projected margin

Mixed model signals: win probability leans Montana State, while the projected margin points to Nevada. The win-probability signal remains primary; both outputs are shown as produced.

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Go deeper

Team reads

Nevada team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Position rooms

Nevada position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 12, 2026 · 10:30 PM ET

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