FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 7

NevadaatNorth Dakota State

Sat, Oct. 17 · 7:00 PM ET · Fargodome

Nevada17
North Dakota State31
CALLED

SharpTake projected North Dakota State at 84%. North Dakota State won.

ProjectedNorth Dakota State by 16.0
ActualNorth Dakota State by 14
Difference2.0 pts
Market spreadNorth Dakota State -14.25
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: North Dakota State -14.25

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects North Dakota State to win.

North Dakota StateProjected winner
84%Win probability
North Dakota State by 16.0Projected margin

On-field context

Matchup breakdown

These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.

Matchup factors unavailable

Completed 2025 matchup evidence is unavailable for at least one team in this matchup.

Explore

Go deeper

Team reads

Position rooms

Nevada position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
North Dakota State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Oct. 17, 2026 · 1:32 AM ET

← Back to forecast board Recent results