FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 8
North Dakota StateatNew Mexico
North Dakota State16
New Mexico21
CALLED
SharpTake projected New Mexico at 61%. New Mexico won.
ProjectedNew Mexico by 4.5
ActualNew Mexico by 5
Difference0.5 pts
Market spreadNew Mexico -4.75
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: North Dakota State +4.75
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
North Dakota State 39%New Mexico 61%
SharpTake projects New Mexico to win.
New MexicoProjected winner
61%Win probability
New Mexico by 4.5Projected margin
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Matchup factors unavailable
Completed 2025 matchup evidence is unavailable for at least one team in this matchup.
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
North Dakota State team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
New Mexico team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.