Overall team quality
Sacramento State offset
FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1
Sacramento StateatEastern Michigan
Sacramento State17
Eastern Michigan28
CALLED
SharpTake projected Eastern Michigan at 71%. Eastern Michigan won.
ProjectedEastern Michigan by 5.0
ActualEastern Michigan by 11
Difference6.0 pts
Market spreadEastern Michigan -9.25
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Sacramento State +9.25
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Sacramento State 29%Eastern Michigan 71%
SharpTake projects Eastern Michigan to win.
Eastern MichiganProjected winner
71%Win probability
Eastern Michigan by 5.0Projected margin
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan's record from last season is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Eastern Michigan. Sacramento State's overall quality pushes the other way.
Last season's results
Eastern Michigan advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Matchup factors unavailable
Completed 2025 matchup evidence is unavailable for at least one team in this matchup.
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Sacramento State team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Eastern Michigan team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
- Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.
- At least one team lacks a usable prior season under this forecast model; the model's neutral prior treatment is used.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.