FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Sacramento StateatEastern Michigan

Sat, Aug. 29 · 6:30 PM ET · Rynearson Stadium

Sacramento State17
Eastern Michigan28
CALLED

SharpTake projected Eastern Michigan at 71%. Eastern Michigan won.

ProjectedEastern Michigan by 5.0
ActualEastern Michigan by 11
Difference6.0 pts
Market spreadEastern Michigan -9.25
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Sacramento State +9.25

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Eastern Michigan to win.

Eastern MichiganProjected winner
71%Win probability
Eastern Michigan by 5.0Projected margin

Why SharpTake leans

Why SharpTake leans Eastern Michigan

Eastern Michigan's record from last season is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Eastern Michigan. Sacramento State's overall quality pushes the other way.

Overall team quality

Sacramento State offset

Last season's results

Eastern Michigan advantage

On-field context

Matchup breakdown

These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.

Matchup factors unavailable

Completed 2025 matchup evidence is unavailable for at least one team in this matchup.

Explore

Go deeper

Team reads

Position rooms

Sacramento State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Eastern Michigan position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
  • Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.
  • At least one team lacks a usable prior season under this forecast model; the model's neutral prior treatment is used.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Aug. 29, 2026 · 6:30 PM ET

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