FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Mississippi Valley StateatSacramento State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 10:00 PM ET · Hornet Stadium

Mississippi Valley State0

Sacramento State52

CALLED

SharpTake projected Sacramento State at 99%. Sacramento State won.

ProjectedSacramento State by 48.0

ActualSacramento State by 52

Difference4.0 pts

Market spreadSacramento State -37.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Sacramento State -37.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Mississippi Valley State 1%Sacramento State 99%

SharpTake projects Sacramento State to win.

Sacramento StateProjected winner

99%Win probability

Sacramento State by 48.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Sacramento State team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Sacramento State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET