FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 8
Sacramento StateatBall State
Sacramento State17
Ball State34
CALLED
SharpTake projected Ball State at 72%. Ball State won.
ProjectedBall State by 9.0
ActualBall State by 17
Difference8.0 pts
Market spreadBall State -14.5
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Sacramento State +14.5
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Sacramento State 28%Ball State 72%
SharpTake projects Ball State to win.
Ball StateProjected winner
72%Win probability
Ball State by 9.0Projected margin
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Matchup factors unavailable
Completed 2025 matchup evidence is unavailable for at least one team in this matchup.
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Sacramento State team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Ball State team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.