Overall team quality
Strong LSU advantage
FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2
Louisiana TechatLSU
Louisiana Tech14
LSU45
CALLED
SharpTake projected LSU at 66%. LSU won.
ProjectedLSU by 7.5
ActualLSU by 31
Difference23.5 pts
Market spreadLSU -34.75
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Louisiana Tech +34.75
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Louisiana Tech 34%LSU 66%
SharpTake projects LSU to win.
LSUProjected winner
66%Win probability
LSU by 7.5Projected margin
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans LSU
LSU's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors LSU. LSU also has the edge in record from last season, while Louisiana Tech's current season's scoring performance pushes the other way.
Current season's scoring performance
Louisiana Tech offset
Recent scoring performance
Louisiana Tech offset
Last season's results
Slight LSU advantage
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Louisiana Tech disruption vs LSU
CLEAR EDGELSU disruption allowedLouisiana Tech disruption created
LSU avoids tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles less often than most FBS teams, while Louisiana Tech creates tackles for loss, passes defensed, and forced fumbles far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Louisiana Tech.
Havoc Rate allowed · 17.9%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Worse than most FBS teams
Defensive Havoc Rate · 19.6%Havoc Rate is the share of plays with a tackle for loss, pass defended, or forced fumble.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Havoc allowed vs havoc created
LSU run game
EDGELSU offenseLouisiana Tech defense
LSU gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams, while Louisiana Tech allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Louisiana Tech.
Rushing Success Rate · 38.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Worse than most FBS teams
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 38.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Louisiana Tech finishing drives
EDGELouisiana Tech offenseLSU defense
Louisiana Tech scores points after possessions cross the opponent's 40-yard line less often than most FBS teams, while LSU allows points after possessions cross the opponent's 40-yard line less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors LSU.
Points per scoring opportunity · 3.32 pointsFinishing drives measures points per possession that reaches the opponent's 40-yard line.Worse than most FBS teams
Points allowed per scoring opportunity · 3.25 pointsFinishing drives measures points allowed per possession that reaches the defense's 40-yard line.Better than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Points per scoring opportunity, for and allowed
Season aggregates only. How a specific opponent forces field position and drive length is not captured here.
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Louisiana Tech team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
LSU team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.