FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Murray StateatMiddle Tennessee

Sat, Sep. 5 · 7:00 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Murray State14
Middle Tennessee38
CALLED

SharpTake projected Middle Tennessee at 97%. Middle Tennessee won.

ProjectedMiddle Tennessee by 30.5
ActualMiddle Tennessee by 24
Difference6.5 pts
Market spreadMiddle Tennessee -22.5
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Middle Tennessee -22.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects Middle Tennessee to win.

Middle TennesseeProjected winner
97%Win probability
Middle Tennessee by 30.5Projected margin

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Position rooms

Middle Tennessee position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET

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