FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Murray StateatMiddle Tennessee

Sat, Sep. 5 · 7:00 PM ET · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium

Murray State14

Middle Tennessee38

CALLED

SharpTake projected Middle Tennessee at 97%. Middle Tennessee won.

ProjectedMiddle Tennessee by 30.5

ActualMiddle Tennessee by 24

Difference6.5 pts

Market spreadMiddle Tennessee -22.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Middle Tennessee -22.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Murray State 3%Middle Tennessee 97%

SharpTake projects Middle Tennessee to win.

Middle TennesseeProjected winner

97%Win probability

Middle Tennessee by 30.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Middle Tennessee team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Middle Tennessee position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET