FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 2

Alabama StateatTroy

Sat, Sep. 12 · 4:00 PM ET · Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)

Alabama State17

Troy34

CALLED

SharpTake projected Troy at 81%. Troy won.

ProjectedTroy by 15.5

ActualTroy by 17

Difference1.5 pts

Market spreadTroy -23.75

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Alabama State +23.75

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Alabama State 19%Troy 81%

SharpTake projects Troy to win.

TroyProjected winner

81%Win probability

Troy by 15.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Troy team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Troy position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 12, 2026 · 4:00 PM ET