FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

Alcorn StateatSouthern Miss

Sat, Sep. 5 · 5:00 PM ET · M. M. Roberts Stadium

Alcorn State3

Southern Miss49

CALLED

SharpTake projected Southern Miss at 98%. Southern Miss won.

ProjectedSouthern Miss by 32.0

ActualSouthern Miss by 46

Difference14.0 pts

Market spreadSouthern Miss -19.5

Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Southern Miss -19.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Alcorn State 2%Southern Miss 98%

SharpTake projects Southern Miss to win.

Southern MissProjected winner

98%Win probability

Southern Miss by 32.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Southern Miss team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Southern Miss position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 5:00 PM ET