Overall team quality
Louisiana offset
FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 6
LouisianaatLouisiana Tech
Louisiana31
Louisiana Tech32
CALLED
SharpTake projected Louisiana Tech at 51%. Louisiana Tech won.
ProjectedPick'em
ActualLouisiana Tech by 1
Difference1.0 pts
Market spreadLouisiana Tech -3
Vs spreadWINSharpTake Pick: Louisiana +3
Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised
Louisiana 49%Louisiana Tech 51%
SharpTake projects Louisiana Tech to win.
Louisiana TechProjected winner
51%Win probability
Pick'emProjected margin
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech's current season's results is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Louisiana Tech. Louisiana's overall quality pushes the other way.
Current season's results
Louisiana Tech advantage
Recent scoring performance
Louisiana offset
Last season's results
Louisiana offset
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Louisiana pass game
CLEAR EDGELouisiana offenseLouisiana Tech defense
Louisiana gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams, while Louisiana Tech allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Louisiana Tech.
Passing Success Rate · 34.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Passing Success Rate allowed · 36.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
Louisiana Tech staying on schedule
EDGELouisiana Tech offenseLouisiana defense
Louisiana Tech gains enough yardage for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Louisiana allows enough yardage for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Louisiana Tech.
Offensive Success Rate · 40.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Defensive Success Rate allowed · 46.2%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Success rate vs success rate allowed
Louisiana Tech run game
EDGELouisiana Tech offenseLouisiana defense
Louisiana Tech gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Louisiana allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Louisiana Tech.
Rushing Success Rate · 42.6%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 48.3%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Louisiana team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Louisiana Tech team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.