FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 4

MercyhurstatWestern Kentucky

Sat, Sep. 26 · 7:00 PM ET · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Mercyhurst7

Western Kentucky52

CALLED

SharpTake projected Western Kentucky at 98%. Western Kentucky won.

ProjectedWestern Kentucky by 34.5

ActualWestern Kentucky by 45

Difference10.5 pts

Market spreadWestern Kentucky -40.5

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Mercyhurst +40.5

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Mercyhurst 2%Western Kentucky 98%

SharpTake projects Western Kentucky to win.

Western KentuckyProjected winner

98%Win probability

Western Kentucky by 34.5Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

Western Kentucky team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

Western Kentucky position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 26, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET