FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

MercyhurstatNew Mexico State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 9:00 PM ET · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Mercyhurst14
New Mexico State51
CALLED

SharpTake projected New Mexico State at 94%. New Mexico State won.

ProjectedNew Mexico State by 25.0
ActualNew Mexico State by 37
Difference12.0 pts
Market spreadNew Mexico State -29
Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Mercyhurst +29

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

SharpTake projects New Mexico State to win.

New Mexico StateProjected winner
94%Win probability
New Mexico State by 25.0Projected margin

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Position rooms

New Mexico State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.
Coverage and limitations
  • Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
  • Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
  • Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET

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