FINAL Game forecast · REGULAR week 1

MercyhurstatNew Mexico State

Sat, Sep. 5 · 9:00 PM ET · Aggie Memorial Stadium

Mercyhurst14

New Mexico State51

CALLED

SharpTake projected New Mexico State at 94%. New Mexico State won.

ProjectedNew Mexico State by 25.0

ActualNew Mexico State by 37

Difference12.0 pts

Market spreadNew Mexico State -29

Vs spreadLOSSSharpTake Pick: Mercyhurst +29

Pregame forecast · published before kickoff and not revised

Mercyhurst 6%New Mexico State 94%

SharpTake projects New Mexico State to win.

New Mexico StateProjected winner

94%Win probability

New Mexico State by 25.0Projected margin

Explore

Go deeper

New Mexico State team readHow this team wins and where it is exposed.

New Mexico State position roomsWho is on the 2026 roster and what they did in 2025; navigation, not forecast factors.

Coverage and limitations

Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
Neither team has completed a game this season; the forecast rests on prior-season evidence.

Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.

Forecast model · Data cutoff Sep. 5, 2026 · 9:00 PM ET