Overall team quality
Strong Marshall advantage
Why SharpTake leans
Why SharpTake leans Marshall
Marshall's overall quality is the biggest reason SharpTake favors Marshall. Marshall also has the edge in current season's results, while Middle Tennessee's current season's scoring performance pushes the other way.
Current season's results
Strong Marshall advantage
Current season's scoring performance
Middle Tennessee offset
Recent scoring performance
Middle Tennessee offset
On-field context
Matchup breakdown
These matchup factors describe where the teams differ on the field. They are separate from SharpTake's forecast explanation above.
Marshall pass game
CLEAR EDGEMarshall offenseMiddle Tennessee defense
Marshall gains enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance more often than most FBS teams, while Middle Tennessee allows enough yardage on pass plays for the down and distance far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Marshall.
Passing Success Rate · 46.8%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Better than most FBS teams
Passing Success Rate allowed · 48.5%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Passing success rate vs passing success rate allowed
Middle Tennessee run game
EDGEMiddle Tennessee offenseMarshall defense
Middle Tennessee gains enough yardage on runs for the down and distance at a rate near the FBS middle, while Marshall allows enough yardage on runs for the down and distance far less often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Marshall.
Rushing Success Rate · 44.7%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Near the FBS middle
Rushing Success Rate allowed · 36.1%Success Rate is the share of plays that gain enough yardage for the down and distance.Among the strongest FBS results
Comparison basis · Rushing success rate vs rushing success rate allowed
Middle Tennessee explosive plays
EDGEMiddle Tennessee offenseMarshall defense
Middle Tennessee creates big-play value on successful plays at a rate near the FBS middle, while Marshall allows big-play value on successful plays far more often than most FBS teams. That comparison favors Middle Tennessee.
Offensive Explosiveness · 1.220Explosiveness measures the value created on successful plays, showing how damaging the big gains are.Near the FBS middle
Explosiveness allowed · 1.401Explosiveness allowed measures the value opponents create on their successful plays.Among the weakest FBS results
Comparison basis · Explosiveness vs explosiveness allowed
Explore
Go deeper
Team reads
Middle Tennessee team readHow the away team wins and where it is exposed.→
Marshall team readHow the home team wins and where it is exposed.→
Full team matchupCompare the teams across every measured matchup concept.→
Position rooms
Coverage and limitations
- Forecasts are produced only when both teams meet SharpTake's evidence requirements.
- Player availability, injuries, weather, travel, and rest are not included.
- Explain factors use completed 2025 team-season evidence. They describe matchup contrasts and are not causal model attribution.
Forecasts are model-based context, not guarantees.